Live Recession Forecast
Economic Outlook
Click any card to view detailed analysis and charts
How it Works
Our dashboard crunches decades of official economic data using machine learning, so you don't have to. Here's how we turn raw numbers into the dial at the top of this page.
- Track · We gather fresh numbers from the Fed, BLS, and Treasury every morning.
- Analyze · Our advanced machine learning model scans 60+ years of trends to learn the signals that tend to show up before recessions or recoveries.
- Predict · The model weighs hundreds of indicators in real time, looking for subtle warning signs and healthy signals alike.
- Interpret · We display our model's findings as a simple percentage score, along with every chart and data point that influenced it for your own interpretation.
🧠
Machine Learning, Out in the Open
Our code and models are open-source.
See exactly how the score is calculated, or just enjoy the insights.
Help improve the model by contributing to the codebase or suggesting new indicators.
View on GitHub →View data sources →